Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.179347 0.213298 0.251411 0.297293 0.350953 0.411647 0.485428
2025-05-11 0.126815 0.169483 0.222716 0.293702 0.385542 0.499981 0.652986
2025-05-18 0.094973 0.138701 0.197781 0.282816 0.401342 0.559841 0.786836
2025-05-25 0.073128 0.115123 0.175795 0.268867 0.406834 0.602318 0.898375
2025-06-01 0.061921 0.103996 0.168376 0.272641 0.435448 0.677592 1.061801
2025-06-08 0.050541 0.090184 0.154179 0.263158 0.441660 0.719178 1.178558
2025-06-15 0.044571 0.083946 0.150603 0.269257 0.471935 0.799457 1.361905
2025-06-22 0.038934 0.077190 0.144933 0.270658 0.494017 0.868189 1.533024
2025-06-29 0.033511 0.069818 0.136957 0.266642 0.505820 0.920412 1.681166
2025-07-06 0.029054 0.063477 0.129812 0.262900 0.517181 0.972323 1.833036
2025-07-13 0.026943 0.061433 0.130402 0.273533 0.555719 1.075339 2.084429
2025-07-20 0.026088 0.061845 0.135791 0.294022 0.614924 1.221080 2.426538
2025-07-27 0.024071 0.059613 0.135933 0.304912 0.658538 1.345594 2.748223
2025-08-03 0.021074 0.054670 0.129735 0.302016 0.674605 1.420107 2.984125
2025-08-10 0.017914 0.048719 0.120377 0.290904 0.672085 1.457532 3.150748
2025-08-17 0.015039 0.042878 0.110289 0.276586 0.660639 1.475238 3.278735
2025-08-24 0.013674 0.040641 0.108280 0.280462 0.689546 1.579251 3.594893
2025-08-31 0.011751 0.036515 0.101002 0.270723 0.686238 1.614103 3.767640
2025-09-07 0.010867 0.035105 0.100319 0.276987 0.720860 1.734835 4.137589
2025-09-14 0.009861 0.033138 0.097871 0.278426 0.744038 1.832176 4.464732
2025-09-21 0.008749 0.030617 0.093528 0.274301 0.752981 1.897778 4.726103
2025-09-28 0.007783 0.028350 0.089515 0.270459 0.762111 1.964578 4.996350
2025-10-05 0.007417 0.027957 0.090802 0.281378 0.810667 2.129973 5.513883